The first tropical Atlantic storm of the year, Alberto, looks to be heading right for Tampa-St. Petersburg. The NOAA site is predicting up to 8 inches of rain over the next five days for central Florida. This is the best precipiation forecast out there, and people in Tampa-St. Pete should take flooding risk seriously. Winds are not as much of a threat. But check this precip forecast image. Read it like a topographic map: that brown ring centered like a bullseye on St. Pete is the eigth-inch forecast area and each ring outward is one inch less. Orlando looks like it will get about six inches and Jacksonville and Daytona Beach should get about five.
SustainLane will be releasing its natural disaster risk ranking for US cities next month--you can check it out now. Tampa-St.Pete are not included, as neither is in the largest 50 US cities, but if they were, you can bet they would rank in the mid to upper forties range out of the largest 50 US cities for hurricane/flooding risk.